Week #12 ~ Fantasy Golf ~ Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Invitational - March 20 - 23, 2014

Top Picks

Drew's Picks: Bubba Watson, Graeme McDowell, Gary Woodland
Jeremy's Picks:  Keegan Bradley, Graeme McDowell, Justin Rose
Chuck's Picks:  Bubba Watson, Chris Kirk, Graeme McDowell
Matt's Picks:  Justin Rose, Bubba Watson, Graeme McDowell
Cathy's Picks:  Adam Scott, Lee Westwood, Zach Johnson

Dark Horses (dark horse criteria= outside top 50 on OWGR as of 2/24/14)

Drew's Picks:  Will McKenzie, Freddie Jacobson, Kevin Na
Jeremy's Picks:  Matt Every, Kevin Na, Sang-Moon Bae
Chuck's Picks:  Matt Every, Kevin Na, Chris Stroud
Matt's Picks: Kevin Na, William McGirt, Brian Harman
Cathy's Picks: Erik Compton, Jason Kokrak, Will McKenzie

Read here to see why we picked who we did!

Matt's Picks:
Justin Rose  
In his last three trips to Bay Hill,
Justin Rose has three top fifteen finishes. Last season he finished runner-up to
Tiger and in 2011 he tied for 3rd place. Rose is coming off his first top ten of
the season since the HSBC Champions event in November. 

Bubba Watson  
Bubba has been on fire as of late,
earning top tens in each of his last four events. He finished runner-up in the
Waste Management Open and the Cadillac Championship, and was victorious at the
Northern Trust Open. Watson has finished in the top twenty-five in his last
three trips to Bay Hill. He finished T14 last season and T4 in
2012. 

Tiger Woods  
Although his health concerns me,
Tiger's record at Bay Hill cannot be ignored. He has won this event in four of
his five previous starts. He has a total of eight victories on this track in his
career. His back was definitely bothering him the final round at Doral, but he
did manage to post the best round on Saturday. With a week off to rest, Tiger
should be in the mix once again at Bay Hill. 

Dark Horses:
Kevin Na  
After coming back from injury, Kevin
Na has managed to earn full status by winning enough money on his medical
exemption. He already has three top fives on the season and another top ten. He
currently ranks 34th in greens hit, 23 in strokes gained putting, and 9th in
scoring average. In three of his last four trips to Bay Hill, Na finished T4 in
2012, T2 in 2010 and T11 in 2009. 

William McGirt  
McGirt doesn't have standout results
this season, but he does have a T19 and a T6 in his last four starts. What I
like about McGirt this week is his well rounded play. He ranks 40th in accuracy,
47th in greens, and 34th in putting. In three trips to Bay Hill, McGirt has
earned three paychecks and finished with a top ten last
season. 

Brian Harman
Harman has four top twenty-fives on
the season, three of which were top tens.  He is coming off a T25
performance at the Valspar and recently earned a tie for 3rd at the Northern
Trust Open.  Harman currently ranks 25th in strokes gained putting and 24th
in scoring average.   In 2012, Harman finished T15 at the Arnold Palmer
Invitational.

Jeremy's Picks:

Top Picks
 
Keegan Bradley - He is my replacement for Tiger's ailing back.  He presents
a solid option and barely missed my initial cut.
 
Graeme McDowell - Has a great history here with 2 runner up
finishes, plus he gets to sleep in his own bed at night.
 
Justin Rose - Last year's runner up finisher is due for a break out
week.
 
Dark Horse
 
Matt Every -
Playing great golf this season already having carded 4 top 10
finishes.
 
Kevin Na - A resurgence last week has put him on my radar
at Bay Hill.
 
Sang-Moon Bae - Putting up back to back top 15
finishes will definitely land you on my dark horse squad.

Drew's Picks:Bubba Watson:
Bubba's game still is firing on all cylinders>  I see a top 5, if not a win this week for him.

Graeme McDowell:
Graeme McDowell is a fast green master, which should help this week.  He has two  2nd's in 6 starts here, and 3 top 10's in his last 4 tour starts.

Gary Woodland:
Gary's last three tour starts have been 33rd, 16th, and an 8th, a progression headed in the right direction.  Lots of room off the tees at the API, combined with his length  should get him on the greens easily in regulation, he just needs a hot putter.

Dark Horses:

Will McKenzie:
Will's game is in fine shape, a 6th and a 4th in his last two starts. He's improved to 15 in Strokes Gained Putting, which should yield some good rounds.

Freddie Jacobson:
Freddie "The Junkman" Jacobson shouldn't have much junk to worry about this week, but he's 9th in the SGP stat.  Otherwise just a hunch!

Kevin Na:
Kevin finished 2nd last week at the Valspar.  In his previous four appearances at the API he's finished 11th, 2nd, 30th, and 4th, that's pretty good course form.  He needs to speed up his play a bit, the officials might be watching him extra close this week, he can't let that throw him off.

Chuck's Picks:Bubba Watson – A win and two runner ups in his last three starts. I wouldn’t want to bet against him this week.

Chris Kirk – Been playing great this year. 12th at the Honda and solid outing at Doral. Still trying to prove to everyone he can be a regular threat on the PGA tour

Graeme McDowell – Tough choice here but should I think he capitalize on a tigerless field this week. Always plays well on tough courses.
 
Matt Every – Four top tens this year including a T8 last week at Copperhead. Yeah he’ll be on my team again this week for the third week in a row.

Kevin Na – Perhaps nobody is more streaky than Kevin Na. Take him with confidence this week as he’s rides out his hot streak.

Chris Stroud – Feels like stealing to have him listed as a dark horse. Grew up playing Arnold Palmer courses and would love nothing more than to “impress the King” with a victory.